| HOME | HELP | FEEDBACK | SUBSCRIPTIONS | ARCHIVE | SEARCH | TABLE OF CONTENTS |
|
|
|
|||||||
|
|||||||||
Radiology, Vol 182, 365-368, Copyright © 1992 by Radiological Society of North America
ARTICLES |
JH Sunshine, RG Evens and WC Chan
Research Department, American College of Radiology, Reston, VA 22091.
In 1982, the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC), a prominent national panel, predicted there would be 25,650 full-time equivalent (FTE) diagnostic radiologists, a 34% oversupply, by 1990. The radiologists involved in GMENAC, however, using models developed by the American College of Radiology, projected 19,800 FTE diagnostic radiologists in 1990, which was similar to the GMENAC estimate of need. The disagreement arose principally from different assumptions about residents entering the specialty. Recent data show there actually were approximately 21,900 FTE diagnostic radiologists in 1990. The radiologists' projection was 10% below this figure; the GMENAC projection was 17% above it. GMENAC erred principally in assuming diagnostic radiology residencies would not replace general radiology residencies, but rather be an addition to them. The radiologists erred principally in their assumption about the effects of the financial problems of hospitals on the number of residency positions. Accurate long-term projection of physician supply in individual specialties may well not be feasible.
This article has been cited by other articles:
|
|
 |
|
  C. Meghea and J. H. Sunshine Retirement patterns and plans of radiologists. Am. J. Roentgenol., December 1, 2006; 187(6): 1405 - 1411. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
 |
|
 C. I. Meghea and J. H. Sunshine Who's Overworked and Who's Underworked among Radiologists? An Update on the Radiologist Shortage Radiology, September 1, 2005; 236(3): 932 - 938. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
J. H. Sunshine, C. D. Maynard, J. Paros, and H. P. Forman Update on the Diagnostic Radiologist Shortage Am. J. Roentgenol., February 1, 2004; 182(2): 301 - 305. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
B. J. Hillman and H. L. Neiman Radiology 2012: Radiology and Radiologists a Decade Hence--A Strategic Analysis for Radiology from the Second Annual American College of Radiology FORUM Radiology, April 1, 2003; 227(1): 9 - 14. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
D. D. Saketkhoo, A. M. Covey, J. Sunshine, and H. P. Forman Updated Findings from a Help Wanted Index of Job Advertisements and an Analysis of the Policy Implications: Is the Job-Market Shortage for Diagnostic Radiologists Stabilizing? Am. J. Roentgenol., October 1, 2002; 179(4): 851 - 858. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
J. M. Mitchell and J. H. Sunshine Determinants of Differences Among Radiologists in Starting Salaries Am. J. Roentgenol., May 1, 2002; 178(5): 1067 - 1073. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
M. Bhargavan, J. H. Sunshine, and B. Schepps Too Few Radiologists? Am. J. Roentgenol., May 1, 2002; 178(5): 1075 - 1082. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
J. H. Sunshine, Y. S. Cypel, and B. Schepps Diagnostic Radiologists in 2000: Basic Characteristics, Practices, and Issues Related to the Radiologist Shortage Am. J. Roentgenol., February 1, 2002; 178(2): 291 - 301. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
C. Hogan, J. H. Sunshine, and B. Schepps Hiring of Diagnostic Radiologists in 1998 Am. J. Roentgenol., February 1, 2001; 176(2): 307 - 312. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
J. H. Sunshine, C. Simon, G. R. Bushee, and B. Schepps 1997 Graduates Speak: Initial Employment Experiences of Residency and Fellowship Graduates Am. J. Roentgenol., November 1, 2000; 175(5): 1225 - 1232. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
G. R. Bushee, J. H. Sunshine, and B. Schepps The Status of Diagnostic Radiology Training Programs and Their Graduates in 1999 Am. J. Roentgenol., October 1, 2000; 175(4): 963 - 966. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
|
|
