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Radiology, Vol 200, 545-549, Copyright © 1996 by Radiological Society of North America
ARTICLES |
ML Janower and JH Sunshine
Department of Radiology, St Vincent Hospital, Worcester, MA 01604, USA.
In light of the growing concern that a large surplus of diagnostic radiologists is pending, the authors (a) reviewed the major projections of the surplus-shortage situation made during the past quarter century and (b) semiquantitatively analyzed factors widely expected to have a substantial effect on the future situation. Projections uniformly were seriously mistaken. Some factors expected to affect the future, such as the increasing percentage of women among radiologists, are foreseeable and have small effects. However, other factors, most notably new technology, cannot be predicted, although their effects may be very large. The authors conclude that the long-term future situation is not predictable. The authors also examined steps that might be taken to reduce the supply of radiologists if a large surplus were known to be pending and antitrust prohibitions against coordinated responses were eliminated. At first, there appear to be multiple actions possible that would reduce the number of graduates of residency programs while preserving, or even enhancing, quality and equity. Closer examination, however, shows that these actions are often conflicting, sometimes not actually desirable, and generally troubled by questions of effectiveness and feasibility of implementation. Thus, even with changes in the law, the authors find no ready solutions to a possible large oversupply of radiologists.
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J. H. Sunshine, C. D. Maynard, J. Paros, and H. P. Forman Update on the Diagnostic Radiologist Shortage Am. J. Roentgenol., February 1, 2004; 182(2): 301 - 305. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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D. D. Saketkhoo, A. M. Covey, J. Sunshine, and H. P. Forman Updated Findings from a Help Wanted Index of Job Advertisements and an Analysis of the Policy Implications: Is the Job-Market Shortage for Diagnostic Radiologists Stabilizing? Am. J. Roentgenol., October 1, 2002; 179(4): 851 - 858. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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J. H. Sunshine, R. S. Lewis, B. Schepps, and H. P. Forman Data from a Professional Society Placement Service as a Measure of the Employment Market for Physicians Radiology, July 1, 2002; 224(1): 193 - 198. [Abstract] [Full Text]
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J. M. Mitchell and J. H. Sunshine Determinants of Differences Among Radiologists in Starting Salaries Am. J. Roentgenol., May 1, 2002; 178(5): 1067 - 1073. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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M. Bhargavan, J. H. Sunshine, and B. Schepps Too Few Radiologists? Am. J. Roentgenol., May 1, 2002; 178(5): 1075 - 1082. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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J. H. Sunshine, Y. S. Cypel, and B. Schepps Diagnostic Radiologists in 2000: Basic Characteristics, Practices, and Issues Related to the Radiologist Shortage Am. J. Roentgenol., February 1, 2002; 178(2): 291 - 301. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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 D. P. Friedman and B. K. Pramanik Fellowship and Practice Trends in Neuroradiology Training Programs in the United States AJNR Am. J. Neuroradiol., October 1, 2001; 22(9): 1650 - 1653. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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C. Hogan, J. H. Sunshine, and B. Schepps Hiring of Diagnostic Radiologists in 1998 Am. J. Roentgenol., February 1, 2001; 176(2): 307 - 312. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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J. H. Sunshine, C. Simon, G. R. Bushee, and B. Schepps 1997 Graduates Speak: Initial Employment Experiences of Residency and Fellowship Graduates Am. J. Roentgenol., November 1, 2000; 175(5): 1225 - 1232. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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G. R. Bushee, J. H. Sunshine, and B. Schepps The Status of Diagnostic Radiology Training Programs and Their Graduates in 1999 Am. J. Roentgenol., October 1, 2000; 175(4): 963 - 966. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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J. D. Chertoff, C. E. Bird, and B. C. Amick Career Paths in Diagnostic Radiology: Scope and Effect of Part-time Work Radiology, November 1, 2001; 221(2): 485 - 494. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]
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