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Thoracic Imaging |
1 From the Department of Radiology, the New York HospitalCornell University Medical Center, 525 E 68th St, New York, NY 10021. Received March 19, 1998; revision requested May 19; final revision received October 25; accepted March 16, 1999. Supported in part by National Institutes of Health grant R01-CA-63393 and General Electric Corporate Research and Development. Address reprint requests to D.F.Y. (e-mail: dyankele@mail.med.cornell.edu).
| Abstract |
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MATERIALS AND METHODS: The authors performed repeat CT of nodule phantoms to assess the accuracy of their measurement technique. They then used this technique to assess nodule growth (nine malignant, six benign) in 15 patients (nine men, six women; age range, 6079 years; average age, 66 years) who underwent repeat CT as part of their routine clinical protocol. The final diagnosis was established with surgical resection or follow-up for more than 2 years after an indeterminate biopsy.
RESULTS: Results of phantom experiments revealed that the method used to determine area change is sensitive enough to help detect nodule growth if one pixel is added around the entire circumference of a nodule. With use of standard exponential growth curves and known tumor growth rates, malignant growth could be detected in vivo within 30 days. All 15 in vivo nodules were correctly classified with early repeat CT.
CONCLUSION: Preliminary experience with early repeat CT suggests that a single repeat CT scan obtained 30 days after the first scan can depict growth in most malignant tumors as small as 5 mm.
Index terms: Lung neoplasms, CT, 60.12118 Lung neoplasms, diagnosis, 60.31, 60.32
| Introduction |
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Small pulmonary nodules (those less than 1 cm in diameter) present an even greater diagnostic challenge because the accuracy of available diagnostic procedures is considerably decreased owing to their size. Given the virulence of lung cancer, the natural tendency is to err on the side of overdiagnosis, even for these small nodules. This explains, in part, the continued high rate of resection of benign nodules.
A key issue in patient treatment is balancing the trade-off between early versus unnecessary resection. Currently, only two radiologic criteria are widely accepted as proof of benignity: (a) nodule calcification in a benign pattern and (b) lack of growth (2). Curiously, although these two criteria were initially described at approximately the same time in the 1950s (58), most research to date, including a multicenter study involving CT densitometry and anthropomorphic phantoms (9), has dealt almost exclusively with obtaining additional information regarding calcification. To our knowledge, virtually no work has been done on refining measurement of growth. This is particularly puzzling because growth is a salient feature of malignancy.
In this study, we focused on rapid assessment of nodule growth, particularly of small pulmonary nodules, with repeat CT. We call this method early repeat CT. The feasibility of early repeat CT depends on (a) the expected nodule growth within a clinically acceptable delay between the initial and repeat scans and (b) the accuracy of the measurement technique. The growth observed with early repeat CT, or the lack of it, can be correlated with malignancy status.
The present study was conducted to assess the use of early repeat CT in determining pulmonary nodule growth. This study consisted of two parts. In the first part, we sought to demonstrate that there is a reliable way of measuring changes in small pulmonary nodules during a short follow-up period. This was achieved by using both theoretical considerations and in vitro experiments on nodule phantoms of known sizes. The second part consisted of actual clinical cases in which repeat CT data were available.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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The data in Table 1 demonstrate that even the slowest growing 10-, 15-, and 20-mm-diameter nodules would register a measurable increase within 28 days for all listed growth rates. Thus, theoretically, repeat CT performed after 28 days would depict growth in these nodules. Nodules with a diameter of 5 mm would also demonstrate measurable growth within 28 days, except at the slowest growth rates of 150 and 180 days, at which the growth would be below the detection threshold. If a repeat scan were obtained after another 28 days, however, even such slowly growing nodules could be recognized.
Minimum Detectable Change
Nodule growth can be assessed on individual CT sections or on the whole volumetric stack. Our primary concern in this study was to determine the minimum detectable area change on individual CT sections because these are readily available for in vivo nodules and clinicians are used to analyzing nodules on a section-by-section basis.
To assess the area growth metric, we constructed CT phantoms by using polycarbonate rods with base diameters of 3.17, 4.78, 6.24, 9.79, and 12.80 mm. The rod diameters were incrementally increased by winding different numbers of turns of transparent adhesive tape around them, with each turn increasing the diameter by 0.1 mm. A total of 10 turns were applied to each rod. The rods were scanned with a CT HiSpeed Advantage (GE Medical Systems, Milwaukee, Wis) scanner by using a standard imaging protocol (1-mm collimation, spiral mode with a pitch of 1:1, and 9.6-cm field of view) (Fig 1).
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We used the k-means algorithm, which minimizes the sum of the Euclidean distances from all pixels in a cluster to the cluster center, because it is effective when there are marked differences between the structures being segmentedin this case between the rods and the surrounding air.
In Vivo Experiments
For the in vivo assessment of early repeat CT, we evaluated the nodule growth in 15 patients (nine men, six women; age range, 6079 years; average age, 66 years) who underwent repeat CT during the course of their routine clinical work-up. According to routine clinical practice at our institution, biopsy was recommended for all nodules that demonstrated growth within the malignant range (Table 1); follow-up was recommended for all other nodules. Thus, except for those cases in which the second scan was obtained at biopsy, our recommendations were made before knowing the true status of the nodule. The actual malignancy status of the nodule was determined with resection or biopsy or after sufficient follow-up (minimum, 2 years) to ensure nodule stability, which is indicative of benignity.
Thin-section CT scans of the nodules were obtained, and the images from repeat CT were reconstructed at 0.5-mm intervals on the z axis to maximize the comparability of the repeat and initial images. The image from the initial scan with the maximal area was compared with the image from the repeat scan with the maximal area. This comparison was done by displaying the two image sets side by side.
Once the nodule was segmented, the area could be readily calculated. Because there are marked differences between the attenuation (in Hounsfield units) of the nodule and that of the surrounding lung tissue, which is predominantly air, we again used the k-means algorithm for the segmentation of the nodule. Because this segmentation algorithm requires a predefined number of clusters, we compared the results obtained by using different numbers of clusters and found that 18 clusters were optimal for the segmentation of these nodules. Two experienced chest radiologists (D.F.Y., C.I.H.) also carefully compared each segmented nodule with the original CT scans to ensure that the nodule had been correctly and consistently identified with the segmentation procedure.
We used the calculated nodule area to determine nodule diameter. The exponential growth model was used to calculate the doubling time for each nodule and the projected area and corresponding diameter if the repeat scan had been obtained after 30 days. We also compared our calculated diameter with that obtained from the pathologic specimen for all resected nodules.
| RESULTS |
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Table 2 shows the actual and measured areas and the corresponding changes from the base values for the various nodule phantoms shown in Figure 1. As mentioned earlier, the actual area was computed from the diameter of the rod phantom. The change in area (in square millimeters) from the base value is shown in column 3. The nodule area was also estimated from the acquired image. The image was segmented, and the number of pixels within the nodule were counted. The change in measured area (in number of pixels) from the base value also is shown. As can be seen in Table 2, even for the smallest change in area, the corresponding change in the image area is measurable.
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D times the pixel size is detectable. Thus, an area change of 9 mm or 12% (assuming a pixel size of 0.3 mm) can be detected in a nodule with a diameter of 10 mm.
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| DISCUSSION |
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Early repeat CT also supplements information from the biopsy procedure by enabling direct confirmation of the presence or absence of growth. This is important because the accuracy of CT-guided needle biopsy in these small nodules is questionable (14). Needless to say, early repeat CT can be performed as part of the percutaneous CT-guided biopsy procedure. Our preliminary experience has shown that early repeat CT is highly desirable for determining the appropriate management actions when the biopsy result is indeterminateallowing for confident continued observation when scans demonstrate lack of growth or suggesting further action when the malignant growth rate is determined. Thus, early repeat CT may be combined with a decision theoretical approach that enables determination of the probability of malignancy based on the initial CT findings. Results of early repeat CT can then be used to modify the baseline probability.
Gurney and colleagues (15,16) recommended using the Bayes theorem, which allows for the incorporation of likelihood ratios of various test results or clinical findings in determining the probability of malignancy of a given nodule. On the basis of a large literature survey, Gurney (15) found that the most important radiologic characteristics of malignant nodules were cavity wall thickness, spiculated edge, and nodule diameter greater than 3 cm; important characteristics for benignity were benign growth rate and benign pattern of calcification. As Swensen (17) noted, however, it is difficult to fully incorporate the combined information of many variables by using the Bayes theorem, and other techniques may be even more appropriate.
Additional advantages of early repeat CT include its potential for widespread availability and the fact that it does not require the specialized skills needed for accurate and safe percutaneous needle biopsy procedures or other more invasive diagnostic studies. In addition, early repeat CT entails a much lower cost.
In all of our in vivo studies, we relied on images that were obtained as part of routine clinical management. Repeat scans were typically obtained before biopsy. The routine clinical use of early repeat CT, however, would require a well-defined protocol for follow-up scanning. Ideally, this protocol would take into account the probability of malignancy based on both the patient's clinical characteristics and the nodule's initial morphologic features, as well as the parameters that describe the capabilities of the CT scanner. This task is complicated, because a complex interaction between these parameters determines when growth will become discernible. These parameters include (a) the initial size of the small pulmonary nodule, (b) the resolution of the imaging technique, (c) the measurement parameter used to assess growth, and (d) the doubling time of the tumor.
Any prespecified interval between initial and repeat CT (eg, 30 days) would enable only tumors growing faster than a certain rate to be reliably diagnosed. Thus, a single repeat scan might not depict the slower-growing tumors, and additional CT scans might be required. The scheduling function to determine when to obtain these additional repeat scans is a topic of current research.
Because volume changes as a function of the cube of the diameter, the proportional change in the nodule volume is much greater than the proportional change in the nodule diameter. Because the precision of these volume measurements is on the same order as that of diameter measurements, an increase in the nodule volume can be detected even earlier. For example, a 10-mm-diameter nodule with a doubling time of 30 days would show an increase of 1 mm in 12.4 days (a 10% increase), whereas the corresponding volume increase (33%) would be much larger. The larger the initial diameter, the greater the corresponding change in volume. Thus, determination of nodule volume directly from three-dimensional images is preferable.
Our current software implementation allows us to measure area change at the maximum cross section to assess growth as well as volumetric change in the overall nodule size. To analyze the capabilities of volumetric early repeat CT, we are currently gathering such volumetric data from appropriate clinical cases.
| Footnotes |
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| References |
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